Using the Matthias Pum PLO HUD by Byron Jacobs
Over the past year or so I’ve been focusing on improving my PLO cash play. Happily this has coincided with the production of two D&B PLO books, Mastering Pot-Limit Omaha and Strategies to Beat Small Stakes Pot-Limit Omaha, which has been very timely.
The latter of these books, written by pokerstrategy coach Matthias Pum, can be purchased along with a video pack and a HUD (with versions for either PokerTracker or Hold em Manager). If you play PLO at all seriously, you should strongly consider purchasing the HUD, either on its own, or as part of the special offer pack. The HUD is very well constructed with numerous helpful pop-ups and gives instant access to key information. It will hugely increase your EV once you install it and find your way around all the key information it holds. Here is an example from a hand I played earlier this week.
Playing $1-$2, 55bb deep, I open to $5 from the button with K-2-Q-5. The aggressive villain (the HUD tells me this) in the small blind raises to $17 and the big blind folds. The HUD immediately gives me some important information about the Villain’s range:
The top left figure (8.3) is the overall 3-bet range. This is further broken down from a pop-up as follows:
This shows that the Villain 3-bets from the small blind at a rate of 6.9% – actually not that high a figure (and reliable – we have a sample size of 362 hands), considering how generally aggressive he is. So, we can immediately put him on a fairly tight range.
With a decent double-suited hand against a wide-ish range, this is an easy call. The flop is brings 9-6-7, missing me completely. Villain now checks.
My first instinct here is to bet, as this flop is very good for my perceived range, even if it is junk for my actual hand. I am further encouraged towards this play as I know that Villain should have a fairly tight range (pre-flop HUD stats), which isn’t doing well on this flop. A wider range would be. However, Villain is a good player, he’ll understand this and may well be checking to induce a bet, looking to check-raise. Or he may have a hand that plays well as a check-call (say, K-10-9-6 diamondspade or K-J-9-8 diamondspade). Since my equity against almost anything that calls is terrible, I want to be sure I can induce a decent number of folds with a flop bet. Time to consult the HUD again.
The bottom left figure (59) of the first graphic indicates that the Villain c-bets 59% on the flop. So, what does he do when he checks? We use the pop-up:
This gives a ton of useful information. The key info is circled below.
This tells me that when Villain declines to c-bet the flop, he is folding 72% of the time to a bet. Again we have a decent sample size of 29 hands. He is unlikely to be inducing, so a flop bet becomes mandatory. The pot size is $36 and I decide to bet $21 (approx 60% pot), which is a sizing I would use if I had the nuts or a hand I was happy to get it all-in with. The sizing means the bet has to succeed about 38% of the time to be profitable (if you are good with maths, this is fairly obvious – if not, Matthias explains methods by which you can estimate this in his book). The HUD tells me this bet is likely to succeed over 70% of the time and is thus hugely +EV.
I make the bet and the Villain folds instantly. Cheers Matthias!